Al Qaeda: Plans for an October Surprise?

Is Osama bin Laden going to weigh in on the midterm elections? A senior counterterrorism official, anonymous, because the subject is sensitive, says that based on previous patterns—such as the release of a rare bin Laden tape just before the 2004 presidential vote a message before Election Day wouldn’t be surprising.

Private expert Evan Kohlmann, who consults for the Feds on terror probes, says Al Qaeda has lately released tapes at a rate of two or three per month. This month, he says, they are “short by one or two,” so he thinks a pre-election message is a “very good likelihood.”

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